Southeast Minnesota Flood '07

  • Heathermerchlewitz_mncity
    Southeast Minnesota Flood of August 18-19, 2007. These photos were sent in by viewers of KTTC. Send your flood photos to weather@kttc.com

Sun/Moon Data

« October 2007 | Main | December 2007 »

November 2007

November 30, 2007

Impending winter storm...

Dan_breedenOur focus is on the developing weather maker over the Plains states this evening. A strengthening low pressure system will come out of Wyoming and Colorado picking up plenty of moisture originating from the Gulf of Mexico. That warm moist air will be diverted vertically over a warm front to our southwest. That rising moist air will cool and generate snowfall over our area beginning Saturday morning.

The snowfall rates will reach 1 to 2 inches per hour and accumulations of 4 to 6 inches should occur before the storm system moves far enough north to allow sleet and freezing rain to take over on Saturday afternoon. That should effectively keep the snow amounts down somewhat. However, the roads will likely experience significant glazing because temperatures will remain below 32 degrees.

WebstormtrackForecast_snowfall_2













The storm will then pass us Saturday night and the heavier precipitation will become freezing drizzle and the system will end for Sunday afternoon, though flurries could linger.

Lastly, cold air will once again flow in to start next week, and the snow cover will keep our readings down even more so. Highs will struggle to reach 20 degrees.

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

Calm before the storm...

BioToday's weather is just what the title of this blog says.  We're in the calm before the weekend winter storm.  Calm skies now will give way to cloudy skies tonight with a snow and ice storm arriving tomorrow.  We're expecting the snow to start tomorrow morning and continue into the afternoon.  There will be some warmer air that will allow the snow to melt and turn to freezing rain in the southern parts of Wisconsin.  Cold air will move back in Saturday night allowing the rain to turn back into snow.  That snow chance will continue into Sunday before ending Sunday afternoon.

As the storm approaches, we're beginning to pin down more of the details of what we can expect.  A WINTER STORM WATCH is in effect for the entire day tomorrow.  If you recall from my previous postings, that watch means we're expecting some heavy snow totals and some ice totals too.

The graphics below show the potential track of the storm.  The other graphic shows where we're expecting the snow and the mix to fall.  It also has some estimate totals.  We could update those numbers as newer informations comes out later this afternoon.

The key to this weekend is to constantly check road conditions if you have to be traveling.  If you don't have to go outside tomorrow then don't.  Stay inside and watch some movies or crack open a book.  That's what I'll be doing this weekend.


Thanks for checking in and stay safe and cool...

Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist

Zbwebimage2_3

Zbwebimage1_2   

November 29, 2007

Big winter storm...

Dan_breedenHere we go. It has been delayed, but the first big storm is looking more menacing with each passing day. We meteorologists make forecasts based upon computer simulations and and our own experience in watching how storms evolve over time. We sometimes get conflicting computer guidance from day to day and even hour to hour, so our confidence in predicting storms can be high or we can have our doubts a few days in advance.

In this case the computers have been fairly consistent in the big details such as the track and the strength of the low pressure area, so we are pretty confident that Saturday and Saturday night are going to be a mess with heavy snow and a possibility of freezing rain. That means travel conditions will be hazardous. We are still uncertain about the smaller scale details so the amounts of snow are still in question. Plus enough warm air will move northward and the snow could turn into freezing rain or rain. In any case the roads are likely to be messy. Keep in touch with the latest forecasts as we get closer to the weekend.

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

Trouble for the weekend...

BioAs we continue to track the path of an approaching winter storm for this weekend, we start to pin down more details.  The cold air will be in place for us all weekend, so it appears that we will have enough snow to shovel throughout the weekend.

Travel will also be impacted from the weekend storm.  During the middle part of the day on Saturday, we could see some of the snow turn to rain and sleet to our south.  We will remain below the freezing mark all weekend, so the roads will likely freeze over and have slick spots.  Click the link below to be taken directly to travel information on our weather page:

News19 Forecast Team Travel Center

We will continue to update you on this storm system through today and tomorrow so you'll know how to plan your weekend.


Thanks for checking in...

Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist

November 28, 2007

Interesting photo in my email...

As I went through my email inbox today, a very interesting and unusual message with a picture attached jumped out at me. It came from a gentleman from WCOW radio and I am surely glad he sent it along. Guaranteed; it must be one of the most unusual pictures I've ever seen.

MoosejpgHere is the caption that goes along with the photograph:

Pogo Moose Incident - Bracebridge , Ont,

Canada

   
"They were laying new power cables which were strung on the ground for miles. The moose are rutting right now and very agitated. He was thrashing around and got his antlers stuck in the cables. When the men (miles away) began pulling the lines up with their big equipment, the moose went up with them. They noticed excess tension in the lines and went searching for the problem. He was still alive when they lowered him to the ground. He was a huge 60 inch bull and slightly peeved!"

As they say in

Canada

~ "Is there a Moose in your Hoose" !!




I believe this is a real photo. It seems plausible that a rutting moose could get tangled up in the cable on the ground, plus it would seem correct that the linemen would string up long sections; therefore they could have been at another remote location. Plus, the photo just doesn't look fake.

Before I sign off tonight, just a word or two about a possible snowstorm on the upcoming weekend. Our computers are still putting us in line for a potentially significant snow for later Saturday into Sunday. In the southern parts of the viewing area a wintry mix could slicken things up, so stay tuned...

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

Snow chances growing...

BioColder air is starting to slowly take over our region as we head towards the month of December.  As we head that way, we're also going to start watching for the chances of snow to increase as well.  Although we saw our first amount of measurable snowfall a couple of weeks ago, we could see our first shoveling event this weekend.  The cold air is in place, BUT the track of the winter storm system is very uncertain right now.  The farther south the storm tracks, the higher amounts of snow would fall.  The farther north the storm tracks, we'll see more of a rain/snow mix because of the warmer air rising north.

What is certain, the air will get a lot colder as we head into the weekend.  Highs will warm into the mid to upper 20s, but the mornings will drop into the single digits by Saturday morning.  Any little bit of wind will make that single digit temperature feel like it's below zero!  Refer back to the posts I had about winter weather safety.  The key is to make sure you bundle up and cover as much exposed skin as possible this weekend.  Most of our body heat escapes through our head so a hat is an essential part of the winter wardrobe.  I found a great hat called the Stormy Kromer hat.  It's made of really warm wool and even has an ear-band attached to it to keep your ears warm.  I'll definitely be wearing it out this weekend when we reach the single digits by Saturday morning!


Thanks for checking in...

Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist32

November 27, 2007

Storm this weekend?...

Dan_breedenIt is a little past due, but there is a potential for a bigger snowstorms this weekend. In a normal year we would be tracking a snowstorm by Wisconsin's gun deer season and Thanksgiving time. It's a little late because we just hadn't had a real influx of cold air from Canada and the Arctic, but that has finally arrived with highs Tuesday afternoon only in the lower 20s. The next week or so will feature 2 or 3 intrusions of reinforcing colder airmasses.

The battle between that cold air and warmer air to the south will provide the breeding ground for bigger and more powerful low pressure systems, the kind that produce shoveling snow. It also looks like the upper air jet stream will line up to enhance the snow potential, so we shall see.

Of course it is too early to pin down specifics like the track and availability of moisture, so we will need to watch for forecast updates over the next several days. The best chance will be Saturday night and into Sunday, so stay tuned!

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

November 26, 2007

Kids and toys...

Dan_breedenScore one for the anti-video game and technology crowd. As I was deciding on a topic this evening toys and Christmas gifts popped to the top of the list. After a bit of research I ran across an online article b y Science Daily News about what kinds of toys would be good for youngsters.

The article quotes information from Temple University and the University of Delaware. Researchers there say old-fashioned simpler "retro" toys  encourage the development of creativity and exploration more than the new high-tech toys and games.  “Your child gets to build his or her imagination around these simpler toys; the toys don’t command what your child does, but your child commands what the toys do,” says Temple University developmental psychologist Kathy Hirsh-Pasek.

When you are choosing toys remember:

1. Choose toys that encourage the child to direct the playing, not the other way around.
2. Choose toys that allow children many options for play. Options for play will encourage imagination.
3. Don't choose toys that promises too much. Chances are a toy won't be able to teach your child calculus or another language.
4. Choose toys that will allow or encourage a child's social interaction skills to develop.

Once again here's the link to a very informative article: Science Daily News-Retro toys...

Happy toy shopping everyone!

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

Cold weather is here...

BioWe saw our first frigid overnight low last week when we dropped into the mid teens for the first time since March!  Its a sign of the times as we start the after Thanksgiving shopping season as we head to Christmas.  The end of this week will probably bring us some more really cold air too.  We've yet to see our first snow of the season, although we saw a trace a little over a week ago.

I know many of you out there love to ski and have fun in the snow.  Don't worry, I'm sure we'll be getting some soon enough.  I don't mind the white stuff as long as I'm watching it from the comfort of my living room and not driving in it.  My dog really loves it.  A Siberian Husky is built for the snowy weather, so he's right at home when it comes time to take a walk outside.  He'll run around and jump and eat as much as he can.  He will even sit and stare out the window after we come inside.  I just know he's trying to telepathically tell me to go back outside!

Head to the north part of either Wisconsin or Minnesota if you want to catch some early season slope activity, or do what I keep telling my four-legged companion to do "It'll be here soon enough"!

Stay warm!

Thanks for checking in!

Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist

November 25, 2007

Balancing Weather and News

If you haven't noticed already, I report during the week and on the weekends I deliver the weather. I often get the question, what did you go to school for, journalism? It turns out I went to school at Madison to get a degree in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, and most of the journalism skills I have learned right here at News 19. Reporting is a great opportunity and some of the stories I have covered I really enjoyed.  Some of my favorite stories have included learning how to make maple syrup and also getting the chance to actually fly a plane.  Recently I have started a series called Good Earth which focuses on becoming environmentally friendly. This weeks story, which will air tonight, will explain how Wisconsin plans to handle the growing concern of global warming. This will be the third story in the series and you can look forward to more "Going Green" stories on Sunday nights.
    With that said I do keep busy on Sunday's when we only have a 10:00 show. Aside from preparing the forecast and making graphics, I also have to make sure that my Good Earth story is finished and edited in time for the news.
    Would I rather cover news or weather? Hands down it is weather. I always heard when I was growing up, choose a career that you enjoy, because chances are you will be doing it for a long time. While the hours of an on-air meteorologist aren't very favorable, going to work to deliver the weather doesn't always seem like work and to me is very enjoyable.

Until Next Time,

Andrew Thut
News 19 Forecast Team

November 24, 2007

Hunting Wraps Up

The Wisconsin Gun Deer Hunting season will wrap up tomorrow, and that means I have went another year without shooting a deer. As I mentioned in an earlier entry, I saw my fair share of deer on opening day, but it turns out the deer got smart. There were four people in my deer hunting party and between last Sunday and today, only two deer were spotted. Fortunately, there was snow on the ground when I hunted on Friday and it was a good opportunity to find out where the deer were moving. Hopefully I can use that to my advantage next year. While there was snow on Friday, it was also very cold as I woke up to temperatures in the mid teens.  Temperatures haven't been  as cool over the past 24 hours, a trend that will continue for the next few days. Changes will be in place on Wednesday though as a blast of Canadian air will keep temperatures from rising above the freezing mark.

Until Next Time,

Andrew Thut,
News 19 Forecast Team

November 22, 2007

Working on Thanksgiving...

Dan_breedenIt is Thanksgiving day and I am working. It doesn't happen every year, but when it does it is not so bad. Yeah, I miss the family get together and all the comraderie of catching up and going over all the old stories of days gone by, but in a different way I gain a shared experience with the fellow News 19 coworkers who cover the news, weather and sports today.

I guess it is all in the way you go about it. You can grouse about how unfair it is to have to work on a holiday, or you can treat the day as a great time to enjoy and be with your colleagues. I choose the latter. Of course for it to work it helps to do something different than the normal workday. In this case those of us who have to work joined a fellow coworker for his family's Thanksgiving dinner. Since we work in the evening, there was plenty of time beforehand to pull it off.

It helped to have a Green Bay Packer game on to watch, and of course it was nice to socialize with everyone. The dinner was superb and we all ate too much, but we had fun. To top it off the leftover pumpkin pie joined us in the evening!

I hope your day was as enjoyable as mine.

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

Thanksgiving myth...

BioDo you feel tired and worn out after Thanksgiving and not just because you were up at 5 a.m. cooking?  I know I always feel that way.  Usually, it ends with a nap on the couch!  I'm sure you've heard that the turkey makes you sleep because of a natural chemical in the bird.  Well that's only partially true.

Tryptophan is an essential amino acid crucial for good health.  We need this chemical to build certain kinds of proteins.  What's the sleep connection you ask?  Well, the body uses typtophan in a multi-step process to make serotonin which is a neurotransmitter in the brain that helps regulate sleep.  Turkey does have the chemical, but so does all meat.  The real culprits are all those carbs you'll eat today.  The massive intake of carb-heavy calories stimulates the release of insulin, which in turn triggers the uptake of most amino acids from the blood into the muscles except tryptophan.

With other amino acids swept out of the bloodstream, tryptophan - from turkey, ham or any cheese for that matter - can better makes its way to the brain to produce serotonin.

Tryptophan can trigger the production of serotonin and sweet dreams if taken alone or on an empty stomach.  In fact, tryptophan supplements were a popular sleep aid in the 1980s.  Then the FDA banned their sale in 1991 after a massive outbreak of an autoimmune disease. 

Like a good dinner, this 16-year-old argument might be stimulating or just put you to sleep.

ZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz...

What?  Huh?  Oh sorry...I must have dozed off there for a minute.

Have a great Thanksgiving!


Thanks for checking in...

Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist

November 21, 2007

Holiday season upon us...

Dan_breedenThanksgiving is here and it signals the start of the competitive holiday season. A long parade of Christmas ads and all the trappings associated with jolly old St. Nick are upon us. True, it is fun to see relatives and to get together to catch up, but it also introduces stress, and lots of it. Will we be able to get our loved ones and good friends the presents they deserve? Will our trip to our parents or grandparents be interrupted by the ill-timed snowstorm? Have I forgotten to get the paper boy or my hair stylist a little something for the holiday. So many details and so little time.

My kids are more grownup now, and it seems that the possible gifts for them have grown more expensive with each passing year. We have gone from Legos and toy trucks to iPods and video game systems. Sheeshhh!

Here I am ranting about Christmas, and we are just passing Thanksgiving. I guess I'm just reflecting the rest of society.

Have a happy Thanksgiving and happy eating!!!

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

Holiday travels...

BioThis is the busiest travel day of the year as folks begin to head out for the Thanksgiving holiday.  There are several airports reporting travel delays today; so, if you do plan on heading out, you'll need to make sure you plans aren't interrupted.  On top of the flight delays, we're also looking at some wacky weather in parts of the country.  To our south, showers and thunderstorms will impact travelers heading to Illinois, Missouri and parts of Iowa.  Some 3" to 5" of snow look to fall in parts of southern Wisconsin, while trace amounts will fall around the La Crosse area.


I want you to be safe as you travel today, so here's what you do: go to the weather page www.wxow.com/Weather and click on the Travel Center.  From there, you can look at what airports have delays, and what roads are like as the rain and snow begins to fall later today.  We've also got tips for safe travel there too.  Refer back to my postings from last week for winter safety if you plan on going anywhere south that is in the snow advisory area.

Have a HAPPY THANKSGIVING!!!

Thanks for checking in...

Zach Brown, Daybreak MeteorologistHappythanksgiving_2

November 20, 2007

Holiday statistics...

BioWith Thanksgiving only a couple of days away, let's take a look at some climate statistics for this time of the year.


From 1863 through 1938, Thanksgiving was held on the last Thursday in November.  From 1939 through 1941, President Roosevelt moved the holiday to the third Thursday in an effort to extend the Christmas shopping season (to help with the depression); however, 22 states declined to follow this and kept it on the traditional date; and three states (Colorado, Mississippi, and Texas) could not decide so they had two Thanksgiving holidays.  In 1941, the U.S. Congress split the difference and established that the Thanksgiving would occur annually on the fourth Thursday of November (anywhere from November 22 through November 28), which was sometimes the last Thursday and sometimes the next to last.  On November 26 that year President Roosevelt signed this bill into U.S. law.  This is when the holiday is still observed today.

Although we're not expecting any rain or snow in this part of Wisconsin for the holiday, there is typically a 50.7% of precipitation.  Since 1909 it has snowed 40 out of 98 Thanksgiving Days.  Measureable snow has fallen on 24 Thanksgiving days.  The last time this occured was back in 1993 when 1.2" of snow fell.  The last time there was any snow at all on the ground on a Thanksgiving morning was back in 2000 when there was 1" of snow on the ground.

Here are some other useful facts:

Thanksgiving Day in La Crosse, WI
(Period of Record 1872-2006)

Means
Records
Maximum Temperature

35.9 F

Warmest High Temperature
65 F
November 26, 1914
Coldest High Temperature
4 F
November 28,1872
Minimum Temperature
21.9 F
Warmest Low Temperature
42 F
November 24, 1966
Coldest Low Temperature
-10 F
November 25, 1880
November 28, 1872
Average Temperature
28.9 F
Warmest Average Temperature
53.0 F
November 26, 1914
Coldest Average Temperature
-3.0 F
November 28, 1872
Precipitation
0.07"
Wettest
1.10"
November 26, 1896
Snowfall
0.3"
Snowiest
5.5"
November 28, 1918
Snow Depth
at 7 AM
1"
Most Snow of Ground
at 7 AM
15"
November 28, 1991

(thanks to the National Weather Service for this information)


Thanks for checking in!

Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist

November 19, 2007

Thanksgiving already???

Dan_breedenIt is hard to believe that the first weekend of the 9 day Wisconsin gun deer season has come and gone. Equally as hard to believe, Thanksgiving day is only 3 days away. It seems as if time speeds up the older I get. I know that it is only my perspective that has changed, but as they say perception is reality; so that is my reality. The transition to winter weather has so far been in fits and starts, but that is normally the way it goes. The only sure bet is that winter officially arrives about the third week of December.

This week will mark the use of a common phrase at this time of the year. By Thursday the coldest air of the season will move in and highs will stuggle into the lower 30s, and lows will nestle into the upper teens to around the lower 20s. With each chilly airmass the odds of getting significant snowfall increase. So far the storms haven't been that strong and the air hasn't been truly cold enough, but our turn is drawing closer. This holiday week is a tad early this year on the calendar and perhaps that is why we haven't come close just yet.

For those of you anxious to start the ski or snowmobile season, just hang on it will get here soon enough.

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

Break out the warm clothes...

BioWe saw our first accumulation of snowfall of the 2007-2008 snow season this past Saturday.  Although it was only officially a tenth of an inch, some areas got upwards of around half an inch.  It pretty much melted soon after it hit the ground, but it still snowed nonetheless.

Thanksgiving weather is supposed to be cooler while you're outside playing a game of football with your family.  We will definitely see that cooler weather by the end of the week.  Actually, I'm gonna call it frigid weather by the end of the week.  That's because our highs should be in the lower 40s this time of the year, but we'll struggle to reach 32° by Thursday and Friday.

Along with the cold weather, there is a chance for some more snow accumulation Wednesday through Thursday morning.  The track of the storm has shifted more to the south, so southern Wisconsin appears to be the spot for the most accumulations of snow.  Make sure you check the latest forecast before you head out for the holiday.

Use today and tomorrow to get out those really warm clothes to keep you warm this Thanksgiving.


Thanks for checking in!

Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist

November 18, 2007

My Weekend in the Woods

You may have caught Saturday's newscast and saw Dan doing the weather. Well that was because I took a vacation day and took to the woods for opening weekend of deer hunting in Wisconsin. I hunt in Kewaunne County which is in northeastern Wisconsin, just 30 miles east of Green Bay. This year my father, brother and I woke up at around 4:15 on Saturday and got out to the woods and in our stands before the season officially began. After three straight years without seeing a deer, my luck finally changed. At around 7 AM a buck passed through chasing a doe. The buck seemed to be decent size and I tried to eye him up in my sites but unfortunately couldn't get a shot. Not before to long, another 4-point buck walked through. This time I got a shot off, but missed (This is why I should have practiced shooting my gun over the past few years). It wasn't an easy shot but it is definitely one I would like to have back. Later in the day I saw more doe but again I couldn't get a shot off. In the end I didn't get a deer this weekend but there was a bright spot. My brother, Ryan, shot an 8-point buck Saturday morning with an 19  inch spread. It weighed in around 150 pounds.
    As far as conditions were concerned, I couldn't complain. For the most part I stayed warm all day Saturday. That will change by mid week though. Temperatures will only top off around the freezing mark on Thanksgiving.

Until Next Time,

Andrew Thut
News 19 Forecast Team

November 17, 2007

Dry streak ends...

After the flood of August 18th and 19th, we really didn't miss the lack of recent rainfall. But today's precipitation brought the subject back to the fore. We picked up a few one hundredths of an inch which just so happens to be the first measurable rainfall since October 19th. That means 28 consecutive days with nothing more than a trace of rain or snow, which is the seventh longest streak on record since 1872 at the La Crosse Municipal Airport, our official weather station. It is the longest since we went 30 days without in April and May of 1980. For your information, the longest streak is 44 days from October 20 to December 2, 1976.

Here's a list of the 10 longest streaks on record:

  Longest Stretch of Days Without
             Measurable Precipitation
                in La Crosse, WI
                   1872-2007

                Number of
                 Without
               Measurable
    Rank      Precipitation           Dates
    ----      -------------           -----
      1         44 Days       Oct 20 to Dec 2 1976
      2         35 Days       Apr 21 to May 25 1939
      3         32 Days       Dec 13 1947 to Jan 13 1948
      4         30 Days       Apr 10 to May 9 1980
                30 Days       Oct 17 to Nov 15 1952
      6         29 Days       Dec 6 1943 to Jan 3 1944
     7         28 Days       Oct 19 to Nov 16 2007
                28 Days       Dec 9 1986 to Jan 5 1987
                28 Days       Oct 17 to Nov 13 1930
     10         27 Days       Oct 23 to Nov 18 1953
                27 Days       Dec 13 1899 to Jan 8 1900
                27 Days       Nov 16 to Dec 12 1888

Until next time...

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

November 16, 2007

Winter Weather Topic #5...

BioThis has been Winter Weather Awareness week in Minnesota and Wisconsin.  We've talked about everything from the wind chill to frostbite and even the description of the multiple watches and warnings we use during the winter.

We're going to conclude today but talking about an important tool you can purchase for very little money.  Plus it could save you and your family.  It's the NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) All Hazards Weather Radio.  Staying informed of hazardous winter weather is a good way to prepare or avoid dangerous situations, especially if you have travel plans.  Information delivered through a weather radio comes directly from the National Weather Service which broadcasts 24 hours a day - 7 days a week.

At the touch of a button you can hear the regional weather summary, current weather conditions including hourly wind chill values, the 7-day forecast, radar summaries and short term forecasts.  Any watches, warnings or advisories along with hazardous weather outlooks are broadcast as well.

You can set up your weather radio to sound an alarm when a watch/warning/advisory is issued for your area.  The alarm is loud enough to wake you up out of bed.  Trust me, it's happened to me many times during severe weather!

The National Weather Service in La Crosse currently operates 9 transmitters:

Current transmitters:

City ID Frequency
Rochester, MN WXK41 162.475 MHz
La Crosse, WI
Winona, MN
WXJ86
KGG95
162.550 MHz
162.425 MHz
Black River Falls, WI WNG564 162.500 MHz
Prairie du Chien, WI
Richland Center, WI
WWG86
WWG89
162.500 MHz
162.450 MHz
St.Ansgar, IA
Decorah, IA
KXI68
KXI60
162.450 MHz
162.525 MHz
Withee, WI KZZ77 162.425 MHz

You can pick up a NOAA Weather Radio at any electronics store or on-line.

Make sure you read these tips and prepare yourself for the upcoming winter months.  Abiding by these simple rules will save lives.  Click
HERE for more information about weather radios.

Thanks for checking in!

Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist

Nwrlogosm

November 15, 2007

Winter Weather Topic #4...

BioToday's topics for Winter Weather Awareness week deals with preparation.  You want to prepare now to be ready for when severe winter weather arrives.

When you're outside, make sure to check the forecast to see what the temps will be along with the wind chill.  You'll want to dress warmly, with several layers.  Dress for the worst just in case.  You can always shed layers later.  Use a warm coat, gloves or mittens, a hat, and water-resistant boots.  Cover as much exposed skin as possible.  If you're outside for a period of time, watch for frostbite on the finger tips, ear lobes, the nose and toes (refer to Winter Weather Topic #3).  Avoid over-exertion.  The cold already puts a strain on the body and heart.

When you're at home or work, make sure you have extra flashlights and batteries.  A battery-powered NOAA Weather Radio or AM/FM portable radio.  Keep a two to three day supply of extra food and water along with extra medicine and baby items.  Stock your first aid kit with supplies.  Invest in a carbon monoxide detector.  If you already have one, change the batteries in it now.  The carbon monoxide detector will help in case you decide to use an emergency heating source.  Never place the heating source near another object that may catch fire.  Many house fires during the winter are caused by incorrect use of a space heater.  Keep the heater at least 36 inches away from other objects and turn it off if you leave the room.

Out on the farm, make sure to move animals to a sheltered area and keep an extra supply of food for them.  Have a fresh water supply for the animals too because most animal deaths during the winter are from dehydration.

At school, have an action plan ready.  School officials will watch the weather carefully and make the decision to cancel, delay, or shorten a school day because of the weather.  You can find that information on our School Closings page on our website here at www.wxow.com/Closings or on the air with our bottom-of-the-screen crawl.

A lot of people will be traveling this winter to visit family for the holidays or vacations in warmer climates.  If you venture out on the roads, make sure to winterize your vehicle and check the battery.  Check the forecast and road conditions before you head out the door.  You may need to consider adjusting your route to avoid poor driving conditions.  Carry a cell phone for use during an emergency.  Always keep your gas tank close to the full mark.  Make sure others know the route you'll take and an approximate time you will arrive at your destination.  If you're late, they will be able to retrace your route and find you.  Yield to snowplows around you.  The snow cloud they can produce can lower visibilities to near zero.  Remember this phrase "Stay Back - Stay Alive!"

Keep an emergency kit in your car at all times.  That kit should include:
- Extra blankets or sleeping bag
- Flashlight with extra batteries
- First Aid kit with pocket knife
- Booster cables
- A rope
- A small shovel
- a bag of sand or cat litter for traction
- Plastic bags (for sanitation)
- Extra gloves, hat, socks
- Non-perishable food items and bottled water
- Road maps (for alternative routes)

If you do get stuck, stay with your car.  DO NOT try to walk to safety.  Start the car for about 10 minutes ever hour for heat.  Keep the exhaust pipe clear of snow.  Tie a bright colored (red or orange) cloth to the antenna.  If you must venture away from the car, use a life-line or rope.

Be careful of dense fog.  Do not drive into a dense fog bank.  Others may be stopped.  In October of 2002, a pile-up on Interstate 43 in eastern Wisconsin killed 10 people during the dense fog.


Tomorrow, we'll wrap up the week with information about the NOAA Weather Radio.



Thanks for checking in!

Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist

November 14, 2007

Winter Weather Topic #3...

BioToday's Winter Weather Awareness topic deals with frostbite and hypothermia.

We'll kick things off with a little discussion about frostbite.  Frostbite is a severe reaction to cold exposure that can permanently damage its victims.  Symptoms to look for include a loss of feeling and a white or pale appearance in fingers, toes, nose and ear lobes.  Research has shown that uncovered fingers can freeze up to eight times faster than a human cheek.  The nose can freeze three times faster.  That goes to show you how important it is to keep all exposed skin, especially the fingers and face, covered if you have to go out during extreme cold.


Normal body temperature is 98.6°F.  Hypothermia is a condition brought on when the body's temp drops to less than 55°F.  Symptoms to look for include uncontrollable shivering, slow speech, memory lapse, frequent stumbling, drowsiness, and exhaustion.


If you think someone is suffering from frostbite or hypothermia, begin warming the person slowly and seek immediate medical assistance.  Warm the middle part of the body first.  Use your own body heat to help.  Arms and legs should be warmed last because stimulation of the limbs can drive cold blood toward the heart and lead to heart failure.  Put the person in dry clothing and warp their body in a blanket.


NEVER give a frostbite or hypothermia victim something with caffeine in it like coffee, tea or alcohol.  Caffeine, a stimulant, can cause the heart to beat faster and hasten the effects the cold has on the body.  Alcohol, a depressant, can slow the heart and also hasten the ill effects of cold body temps.


When freezing temperatures are expected, make plans accordingly and spend the day/evening inside.  If you must venture outside, always cover as much exposed skin as you can.


Tomorrow we're going to talk about what to keep in a winter emergency kit as well as what to do in a winter weather emergency.


Thanks for checking in!

Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist

November 13, 2007

Winter Weather Topic #2...

BioToday's Winter Weather Awareness Week topic is the Wind Chill.  We typically just tell you what the wind chill outside it, but I get many questions about how we determine the wind chill.  It's a very long equation but here it is:

Wind Chill (F°) = 35.74 + 0.6215T - 35.75 (V^0.16) + 0.4275T (V^0.16)

Where T = Air Temperature (F°) & V = Wind Speed (mph)

The temperature you get is the Wind Chill and that's how cold it's going to feel on bare skin.  The National Weather Service in La Crosse issues a Wind Chill Advisory when the chill factor reaches -20F°.  Levels this cold can cause frostbite to exposed skin in 30 minutes.  A Wind Chill Warning is issued when the chill factor drops to -35F° or lower.  Levels this cold can cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes.

If you need to go outside, make sure to cover as much exposed skin as possible.  Don't forget to wear lots of layers and put on a hat too.  Most of our heat escapes through our head and a hat will help keep us warm.

Tomorrow we're going to talk about frostbite and hypothermia.


Thanks for checking in!

Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist
Windchill_2

November 12, 2007

Winter Weather Topic #1...

Bio_2The seasons have changed and most of the leaves have fallen off the trees.  That can only mean that winter weather is right around the corner.  We're heading into the middle of November, and it's time to start watching these passing storms closely for snowfall.  The week of November 12 through the 16 has been designated as Winter Weather Awareness Week.  Each day this week I'll be focusing on a different topic to help you prepare for the winter weather.

We'll start off today talking about different Weather Headlines you will hear and see during our weather shows.

Winter Storm Watch means that we're watching a storm system that could bring us winter conditions in 1 to 3 days.  This doesn't mean the storm will affect us, but it means you should watch more closely.

Winter Weather Advisory is issued for winter weather events that are expected to be more of an inconvenience rather than life threatening if caution is exercised.  Usually 3 to 6 inches of snow along with blowing snow and and freezing drizzle are expected.

Winter Storm Warning mean that dangerous winter weather conditions are likely or imminent.  When this is issued, you should tune in to News 19 for the latest weather conditions to keep you safe.

Blizzard Warning is issued when snow or blowing snow reduce visibilities to a 1/4 mile or less with wind gusts of 35+ miles per hour and lasts for three hours or more.  When this is issued you need to remain inside and not travel if you can help it.

Ice Storm Warning is issued when freezing rain will cause a glazing on the roads.  Ice is also expected to reach 1/4 of an inch thick and make travel dangerous.  Travel is not recommended once the storm begins.

Wind Chill Warning means that we're expecting the wind chill to reach -35° below 0° with winds of 10mph or more.  Dress warm and cover all exposed skin as much as possible.  Frost bite sets in very quickly with the wind chill that low.


Now let's talk a little Winter Weather Climatology.  On average, our area gets two to three winter storms every season and one "blizzard" every three years.  Parts of southeast Minnesota and northeast Iowa experience more "blizzards" on average than areas along the Mississippi River and western Wisconsin because of the terrain.  Since 1998 the La Crosse office of the National Weather Service has issued 730 winter related warnings.  Here's a breakdown for you:

Season
# of Warnings
1998-99 55
1999-00 61
2000-01 185
2001-02 69
2002-03 73
2003-04 90
2004-05 105
2005-06 92
2006-07

We'll be talking about the Wind Chill Index, frostbite and hypothermia, winter preparedness, and the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration, or NOAA, Weather Radio in the coming days.


Thanks for checking in!

Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist

November 11, 2007

Advanced satellite's in the years to come

During my weather shows I usually show a national and a regional map with clouds and radar data. All of the cloud data that is shown comes from satellite's. The satellite's we use here in the United States are  GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite) satellite's which rotate exactly with the Earth 22,300 miles above the equator. In the year 2012, satellite imagery will be getting a face lift. The new satellite system called GOES-R will be a major step forward in the fields of weather, climate, atmosphere and ocean monitoring. So how will the satellites improve with the GOES-R? The amount of data will get to users quicker and there will also be more of it.  The resolution will also improve. Improvements in hurricane coverage can be seen by comparing the current GOES (left) with a simulated GOES-R image (right). You can tell that the resolution of the GOES-R will be much better than the current GOES. That will go a long way in the detection of features like structure, moisture and temperature, therefore contributing to more accurate forecasts.
Goesr_3

Until Next Time,

Andrew Thut
News 19 Forecast Team

November 10, 2007

A Dry Fall...

Since the August floods, it seems like the last thing the area needs is rain. In fact, we are still about 8 inches over the average precipitation for this time of year. It turns out we have had a little bit of luck on our side since the floods.  The La Crosse airport hasn't recorded any measurable precipitation since October 19th when 0.03 inches of precipitation fell. The 21 day stretch with no measurable precipitation marks the longest dry spell since the summer of 2001. However, we are still a long way off of the record dry spell. That occurred back from November of 1943 to January 1944 during a 56 day dry spell. The odds of breaking this record are extremely small. We'll see a slight chance of light rain tomorrow night with the next chance of rain coming Tuesday.

Until Next Time,
Andrew Thut
News 19 Forecast Team

November 09, 2007

Packers vs. Vikings

The weekend is ahead and there is lots of excitement in Packerland and in Viking's territory, too. The Pack have a 7-1 record going and the Vikes have Adrian Peterson. Something has got to give Sunday. Since I'm a Packer fan you know where my hopes lie. I'll likely be watching from the comfort of my living room couch, though with the Packer's penchant for "exciting" (Vike fans would insert "lucky" here.) finishes, I'm sure I'll be anything but comfortable. In fact I'll have to arm myself with non-TV-destructive projectiles, just so I am able to watch the post-game analysis on the  same TV.

Lest you think this has degenerated into a sports blog, I'll get you a weather forecast for the game. They are playing at Lambeau, So here's the Green Bay forecast:

Expect a 30% chance of light showers especially early in the game, otherwise cloudy skies will prevail. The gametime kickoff temperature will start at about 45° and by the end should rise to about 50°. Winds will be from the SSE at 6-12 mph.

Go Pack Go!!!

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

Playing Games...

Bio_3It's Friday and, like most of you, I can't wait to start my weekend.  Not that I'm doing anything exciting, I'm just ready to relax.  I will be rehearsing for my dance number for the Dancing with the La Crosse Stars on November 17.

There are a lot of football games going on this weekend.  If you're heading to Lancaster High School for the Hillsboro -vs.- Southwestern game tonight at 7 p.m., you can expect a few clouds and dry conditions.  Temps will be in the upper 30s at the start of the game and the lower 30s by the end of the game.

If you're heading to Cottage Grove, Minnesota for the Caledonia -vs.- Norwood/Young America game tonight at 7 p.m., you can expect a few clouds and dry conditions.  Temps will be in the upper 30s at the start of the game and the lower 30s by the end of the game.

If you're heading to Middleton High School for the Aquinas -vs.- Racine St. Catherine game tomorrow at 1 p.m., you can expect some sun with increasing clouds and rain showers by 6 p.m.  Temps will be in the upper 40s at the start of the game and the mid 40s by the end of the game.

If you're heading to Portage High School for the West Salem -vs.- Brodhead/Juda game tomorrow at 3 p.m., you can expect some sun with increasing clouds and rain showers by 6 p.m.  Temps will be near 50° at the start of the game and the upper 40s by the end of the game.

I've also heard that lots of people are heading to Green Bay for some other football game.  Oh yeah, that would be the Vikings -vs.- Packers!  Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. Sunday afternoon at Lambeau Field.  You can expect mostly to partly cloudy skies with a scattered chance of showers.  Temps will be near 50° at the start of the game and the upper 40s by the end of the game.

Zbwebimage_2 

No matter what game you're going to this weekend, make sure you check the latest radar image and keep the umbrella and jackets handy!

HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND!


Thanks for checking in!


Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist

November 08, 2007

Cloudy months...

I have mentioned it several times over the years that November is, on average, our cloudiest month. Apparently, I have made a mistake. December holds the top spot with the most number of cloudy days.  Here is a lineup of how they rank according to the La Crosse National Weather Service website:

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year
Cloud Cover from Sunrise to Sunset:
Clear 7.4 7.9 7.4 6.8 6.9 7.3 9.8 9.5 9.1 10.8 5.8 6.8 95.5
Partly Cloudy 6.9 7.1 7.1 7.1 9.1 10.4 10.9 10.6 8.9 6.9 6.1 5.8 96.9
Cloudy 16.7 13.2 16.5 16.1 15.0 12.3 10.4 10.9 11.9 13.4 18.1 18.5 173.0

Okay, I wasn't far off, but the tale of the tape surely shows it. From the numbers above November, December and January are the cloudiest. There is another spike in the cloud normals in March and April. It is no coincidence that these are months in which larger, more powerful storms occur leading to larger areas of stratiform clouds. Typically the sunniest months are July, August and September when there are fewer large low pressure areas and the storm track is farther north.

Hmmm! Maybe that is why I like summer a bit better.

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

November 07, 2007

Comet Holmes...

I managed to get a glimpse of the returning space shuttle this late morning or rather, it's contrails as it traveled toward a landing in Florida. Cool enough, yes, but an even better sight in the sky these days is an unusual comet. Of course, you will have to go outside in the night to spot it. The best time will be anytime after sunset when it gets dark enough. Look high in the northeastern sky in the evening, in the constellation Perseus and you will see a fuzzy reasonably bright spot. It is not the brightest object in Perseus, but you should be able to see it because of its distinctive fuzzy appearance.
Comet_holmes_2
It was first noted by E Holmes of London, England back in 1892. It comes back every 6.9 years, but the most interesting part of this comet is the rapid brightening and increase in diameter of its coma back in October. You can get much more information by visiting Wikipedia and this link: Comet P17/Holmes-Wikipedia

See ya' next time.

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

November 06, 2007

Space Shuttle returns Wednesday...

NASA says the space shuttle is coming home on Wednesday. STS-120 Discovery is scheduled to land at Kennedy Space Center in Florida at 12:02 p.m. (CST). It also appears that we may be able to see it as it passes over the middle of the nation. Here is a link to the path expected: Deorbit flight path


There are two orbits on which it could return. On orbit 238 it will be high over either southwestern Iowa or Eastern Nebraska. Now I'm not an expert, but it seems to me that we would be able to see it from here, if it comes down on that particular orbit. If it comes down on orbit 239, the path will be farther southwest and I'm not sure if we could see it.

In either case, I will be outside trying to catch a glimpse. I would imagine that it would be sometime between 11:00 a.m.  and 11:55 a.m.

Happy Hunting!

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist

November 05, 2007

Cold weather gets here...

This week has surely seen the beginning of a new weather pattern that will take us through the next 4 or 5 days. Highs for the next couple of days will remain in the 40s, below average for this time of the year. One of those extensive lobes of arctic based air has been pulled and pushed southward by a seasonally strengthening jet stream.

The first few flakes of snow have arrived, a little late as a matter of fact. I refer to a previous post about important snow milestones. Check back to November 2nd's post called "Early snowfall statistics..."

Lastly, I have been posting comments in response to a viewer's comments regarding that same post about forecasting and global warming, so feel free to comment there. I will start a new post regarding these same topics in the near future.

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist
dbreeden@wxow.com

Carving Pumpkins...

BioI am sorry for posting this so late folks!  As I mentioned last week, this was the first time I had ever carved a pumpkin.  It wasn't that people didn't do it back home in South Carolina, my family just didn't do it.  Amy had mentioned that was a favorite part of the season for her so I thought "Why not?".  I went to the party store and found a carving kit and a book of designs.  I got a couple of large pumpkins at the store and came home to do a little carving.

I looked through the book and decided to carve a spider on a half moon.  The small knives that came with the kit didn't work worth a darn, so I used a steak knife.  The spider was pretty easy, but the legs were a little hard to cut out.  I actually trimmed one small and it broke off.  I took a toothpick and stuck it in the leg to hold it on.  Okay, it wasn't perfect, but hey it was my first one ever!  I still have another pumpkin to carve up!

I decided on a witch and cauldron for my second pumpkin.  This one had some intricate pieces and parts to carve out.  I taped it to the pumpkin to trace the design and then I was off.  I still used the steak knife on this one too.  It took about an hour and a half to carve both.  My feet were tired after!

I put a glow stick in each one and set them on my front steps for the little ghosts and goblins to look at when they came to get some candy.  Unfortunately, only three little munchkins came calling at my door on Halloween.  Since not everyone got to see my work that i was so proud of, I am posting it on here for all to see.  Enjoy!


Thanks for checking in!


Zach Brown, Daybreak Meteorologist

Dsc03946_2

November 04, 2007

Lake Effect Snow

Growing up my family and I used to make trips up to Michigan's Upper Peninsula to ski.  We usually made a trip right around Christmas time and the amount of snow was sometimes an issue. Most ski resorts make their own snow but the Porcupine Mountains don't make snow. This is a great ski hill which often depends on lake effect snow. The next low pressure system through the region will provide the answer that many ski enthusiasts are looking for.  A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for much of western Upper Michigan. Snow is expected to fall Monday through Tuesday with as much as a foot of accumulation  for certain areas.

Lake effect snow forms when cold air moves over a warmer body of water. In this case cold air fueled by northwest winds between 25 and 35 mph will pass over the warmer waters of Lake Superior. The cold air close to the surface of the water will warm up and the amount of moisture in the air will increase. Eventually evaporation will raise the moisture higher into the atmosphere and an unstable air mass is created... in turn, snow will fall on the land downwind.

Lake_effect

I am looking forward to the next ski season and hopefully I get a chance to make it up to the "U.P."

Until Next Time,

Andrew Thut
News 19 Forecast Team

November 03, 2007

Atmospheric Optics: Mirage

One of my favorite subjects in weather has been atmospheric optics. Have you ever seen a surface of a highway look watery on a hot and dry summer day? Although this may appear as an illusion it is actually a mirage which is formed by the refraction of light.  On a hot summer day the air just above a highway is much hotter than air a few feet higher. The quick change in temperature causes light from above to be bent downwards and up toward your eye.  The result is what looks like puddles on the road. Mirages don't just occur over hot surfaces though. They also develop when the surface is much cooler than the air above it, such as over snow, ice, or a cold lake or ocean. The picture below is an illustration of how a mirage forms. I hope you found this interesting, as I will likely write more about some other intriguing atmospheric optics including sun dogs and halos in the future.

Mirage

Until Next Time,

Andrew Thut
News Nineteen Meteorologist

November 02, 2007

Early Snowfall Statistics...

Now that we have inserted the first light snow and flurries into the forecast, it might be interesting to look at the climatology of snow in this area. Our most complete statistics are for La Crosse, so I'll concentrate on the city's official reporting site; the La Crosse Municipal Airport.

According to the records  our first flakes of snow will be late this year.

Average first TRACE of snow:                         October 25th

Average earliest measurable snowfall:      November 11th


Average last TRACE of snowfall:               April 18th
Average latest measurable snowfall:     April 4th

Earliest first TRACE of snow:                September 23, 1928

Earliest measurable snowfall:                          September 26, 1942 (0.2")
Earliest first inch of snowfall:                          October 18, 1991 (1.2")

Latest measurable (and TRACE) snowfall:      May 28th, 1947 (0.2")

If you would like more information visit: National Weather Service-La Crosse Snowfall Records

We'll check on other snow facts and trivia as we get into the winter season.

Until next time...

Dan Breeden
News 19 Chief Meteorologist
 
 

Viroqua Weather Academy

    Yesterday marked the News 19 Forecast Teams second Weather Academy of the school year in Viroqua. Zach Brown and myself gave a presentation to an enthusiastic group of students at Viroqua Elementary. We talked about anything from high pressure and low pressure to fronts and air masses. One of the big ideas that we tried to get across to the kids was to be safe not scared during storms. To get this point across we talked about severe storms and what to do to stay safe in those situations.

    The day was capped by an open house which extended from 4:30 to 6:30. We had all sorts of activities for the kids including experiements, a chance to get autographs and even an opportunity to get on television. We aired the weather portion of our newscast from the school during the five and six o'clock news. The open house was a great success and it was a great turn out. I enjoy getting the opportunity to speak to students to share with them information about the weather and also I like to explain how my career got started. The next Weather Academy will be a bit of a wait though. We skip December because of hectic schedules during the holiday season but we will be back in Houston for a Weather Academy in January.

Until Next Time,

Andrew Thut<